I have a friend who earnestly told me I sound like an evangelical about AI. He worried for my sanity.

I told him that if I saw that Jesus was alive, walking amongst us, performing actual miracles - I would definitely try to convert him. I'm not one to look away from hard data just because it's inconvenient.

That's exactly what's going on right now. People's reactions to it are so weird.

Scott Aaronson remarks in this article that the labs are sitting on a whole pile of incredible results that they cannot figure out how to release given the reception to the Navier-Stokes proof.

Satisfying to see Aaronson, who is usually downplaying some claimed advance, correctly panicking. It makes me feel better about my own.

For there is always a time to panic, no matter how exhausting the requirement might seem. And that time is now.

“Yes, there’s still enormous uncertainty about what the rest of our lives will look like, but as far as I can tell, there’s no longer any real uncertainty that it’ll all mostly revolve around AI, and the extent to which we succeed or fail at directing its power toward human flourishing.”

Good to know that in the throes of coping with apparent existential unknowns, even smart people can still wiggle in some hubris. Imagine, using his own analogy, upon the resurrection you try to steer the son of the Hebrew god toward the perceived benefits of western moral philosophy.

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> Accepting the reality of the coming machine god after it’s solved Navier-Stokes

One thing that stands out to me about this whole ordeal is how little appreciation there is for the fact that instead of there having been one machine god involved, it was the work of ten thousand or more.

I think it's all too easy to forget, maybe even mistakenly assume otherwise, that the prompt you put into the chat textbox is not going to receive the same kind of machine attention the NS problem did.

The models are really impressive, but I don't think it's cope to remark that this was in essence a 1:10000 chance outcome. This is assuredly closer than it ever has been, or was even imagined to be, but is still far from the image these announcement paints in one's head.

Astra's successor is not going to solve millenium problems for you. Even if they double in capability each generation as claimed, you're still to wait until GPT-16 till you will have a millenium problem capable model in your service; and even if they release twice a year, that's still almost a decade away.

Here’s a good rebuttal:

https://www.mcsweeneys.net/articles/we-must-create-the-shit-...

In all seriousness though, this is a very good primer on all the reasons I think that people who claim “the singularity has already started” are wrong. I urge anyone who’s panicking about AI (really?) to read this and consider it:

https://dank.systems/posts/2026-09-15-ai-bear.html